Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 70.926299 79.786653 88.886829 98.901819 109.584537 120.610466 132.822566
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 57.043735 69.696607 83.317570 98.947334 116.267081 134.761094 155.892148
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 49.129662 63.900927 80.362854 99.815409 121.932337 146.075598 174.206055
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 41.998454 57.988417 76.394406 98.726030 124.690755 153.568947 187.764874
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 37.656666 54.788058 75.063146 100.207560 129.975648 163.575904 203.864802
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 34.271301 52.358376 74.315729 102.082391 135.475021 173.643396 219.893420
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 30.053973 48.467103 71.446398 101.109651 137.366152 179.340079 230.738983
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 25.796682 44.123980 67.679714 98.741184 137.333750 182.581496 238.562311
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 24.484361 43.611329 68.689105 102.224416 144.333959 194.104798 256.081574
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 22.927208 42.608463 68.948317 104.673661 150.008036 204.016969 271.697023
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 20.258031 39.784303 66.611155 103.645193 151.250804 208.512509 280.813685
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 17.848780 37.122282 64.318386 102.524960 152.258369 212.632918 289.414244
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 16.059187 35.273504 63.069253 102.743835 154.970065 218.887376 300.685625
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 14.444160 33.552005 61.893661 102.982724 157.658540 225.093360 311.906136
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 13.166033 32.253687 61.232766 103.845869 161.101319 232.203533 324.215861
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 11.491755 30.112004 59.208634 102.733125 161.889478 235.946279 332.365854
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 10.628994 29.302179 59.109607 104.250864 166.107705 243.984746 345.808668
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 9.932710 28.724518 59.318235 106.171917 170.847123 252.683429 360.085785
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 8.657942 26.919189 57.529718 105.175263 171.634797 256.330061 368.071582
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 7.233104 24.623976 54.828010 102.748218 170.405543 257.333513 372.709021
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 7.067200 24.886610 56.237529 106.317417 177.325978 268.819770 390.507601
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 6.718952 24.724394 56.932174 108.826436 182.802608 278.459845 406.014466
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 5.794194 23.184151 55.265044 107.772935 183.348290 281.696101 413.442058